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This is a modest turnaround from the beginning of the year, when Labor was consistently lagging the Coalition in polls.

U.S. federal data show deportations of all nationalities — not just Mexicans — are lagging behind Biden-era levels, and that at this rate, the Trump administration is unlikely to meet its goal of one million deportations annually.

The new regs for 2026 seem like a lottery for teams who either nail or fail them, leading to a dominant team and those lagging behind.

Thus, even over an exceedingly small sample size entering this week’s series in Washington, his lagging overall numbers had become cause for concern.

This has created a political dilemma for Poilievre, Mr Wesley noted, who is now lagging in national polls behind Carney and the Liberals - a dramatic reversal after his party had been ahead since mid-2023.