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Among Democrats, who account for 47% of the state’s voters as of February, Harris had the support of nearly half, while every announced candidate had single-digit support.

Mr Friend said that figure would be cut to a "high single-digit percentage range" by the end of May 2026.

But it all depended on the US moving away from its maximum demand for Iran to end all nuclear enrichment, even from much smaller single-digit percentages commensurate with a civilian programme.

"It does have an impact on us – but it's a single-digit percentage of our business, so it's not a major impact. But they are a very relevant UK customer," she said.

What about a school shooting where the deaths are single-digit?